Seeking Alpha
2022-10-28 17:36:05

Soluna Holdings: Limited Upside

SummaryUnderwriting shares below market price indicate overestimation of SLNH's upside potential.SLNH risks over-centralization where 60% of mining operations will be centralized in Texas by Q4 and up to 90% in the long-run.Findings contradict SLNH's claim to have one of the industry's lowest mining costs when referring to cost of revenue (mining) and all-in business costs.Similar to MARA, SLNH is heavily burdened by preferred share commitments on top of high level of leverage.Despite SLNH's 70% decline since our previous coverage and 90% from its all-time high, we still couldn't find sufficient investment value proposition to justify an investment.IntroductionIn our previous coverage, we argued that Soluna Holdings' (SLNH) curtailed energy business model isn't sustainable due to efforts in reducing curtailed energy (SLNH's main source of income). In addition, SLNH's foreseeable capacity (Q3: 1.02 EH/s) severely lags behind the industry (Table 1). At the very least, these imply limited upside potential. At that time of writing, Soluna was trading (market cap = ~$63.5mil) above its adjusted book value ($37.15mil = $2.8mil cash + $68.245mil PP&E + $14.90 prepaid - $48.8 Total Liability), implying excessive downside risk. The combination of limited upside potential and excessive downside risk suggests that Soluna could not offer sufficient margin of safety. So far, Soluna's share price has reflected this pessimistic outlook w...

Get Crypto Newsletter
Read the Disclaimer : All content provided herein our website, hyperlinked sites, associated applications, forums, blogs, social media accounts and other platforms (“Site”) is for your general information only, procured from third party sources. We make no warranties of any kind in relation to our content, including but not limited to accuracy and updatedness. No part of the content that we provide constitutes financial advice, legal advice or any other form of advice meant for your specific reliance for any purpose. Any use or reliance on our content is solely at your own risk and discretion. You should conduct your own research, review, analyse and verify our content before relying on them. Trading is a highly risky activity that can lead to major losses, please therefore consult your financial advisor before making any decision. No content on our Site is meant to be a solicitation or offer.